PREDIKSI JUMLAH TANGKAP IKAN DI PELABUHAN PERIKANAN NUSANTARA BRONDONG MENGGUNAKAN FUZZY TIME SERIES MODEL CHEN

Authors

  • Imamatul Ummah Fakultas Teknik Universitas Hasyim Asy`ari Tebuireng Jombang
  • Nailul Izzati Fakultas Teknik Universitas Hasyim Asy`ari Tebuireng Jombang

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.33752/reaktom.v3i2.333

Abstract

Abstrak
Berdasarkan data jumlah tangkap ikan di Pelabuhan Perikanan Nusantara (PPN) Brondong, menunjukkan
bahwa rata-rata jumlah tangkap ikan selama 11 tahun terakhir sejumlah 65017 ton pertahun. Pada tahun
2016 jumlah tangkap ikan sebesar 66179 ton dan terjadi kenaikan yang sangat signifikan pada tahun 2017
sejumlah 130742 ton. Data tersebut jelas sangat mengkhawatirkan, karena terjadi overfishing yang dapat
mengakibatkan populasi ikan semakin berkurang. Pada penelitian ini dilakukan prediksi jumlah tangkap
ikan yang ada di Pelabuhan Perikanan Nusantara (PPN) Brondong guna mengontrol jumlah tangkap ikan,
untuk membantu program pemerintah dalam mengelola hasil laut. Pada penelitian ini menggunakan
metode fuzzy time series model Chen, karena data tangkap ikan terkait dengan musim. Hasil prediksi
menunjukkan tingkat error sebesar 28%.
Kata Kunci: Pelabuhan Perikanan Nusantara Brondong, Prediksi Jumlah Tangkap Ikan, Fuzzy Time
Series Model Chen

Abstract
Based on the data of Brondong National Fishing Port, the average number of fish caught for the last 11
years is 65017 tons per year. In 2016 66179 tons of fishes use caught and there was a very significant
increase in 2017 that is of 130742 tons. The data it is clearly very worrying because of overfishing can
cause decreasing of the fish population to decrease. In this study predictions of the number of fish caught
in Brondong National Fishing Port are predicted, to assist gonvernment programs in managing marine
resource. The method used in this study is fuzzy time series model Chen, as the data are related to the
season. The accuracy of the prediction is 72%.
Keyword: Brondong National Fishing Port, Prediction of the amount of fish caught, Fuzzy Time Series
Chen Model

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Published

2019-01-18

How to Cite

Ummah, I., & Izzati, N. (2019). PREDIKSI JUMLAH TANGKAP IKAN DI PELABUHAN PERIKANAN NUSANTARA BRONDONG MENGGUNAKAN FUZZY TIME SERIES MODEL CHEN. Reaktom : Rekayasa Keteknikan Dan Optimasi, 3(2). https://doi.org/10.33752/reaktom.v3i2.333

Issue

Vol. 3 No. 2 (2018)

Section

Articles

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